Kako je 10 Putinovih prijatelja tajkuna ostalo bez 50 milijardi dolara

Ruski milijarderi ove godine su izgubili neverovatnih 50 milijardi dolara. Problem leži u tome što zemlja tone u
ekonomsku katastrofu, a rublja je u utorak potonula dodatnih 7 posto nakon što je središnja banka digla kamate na čak 17 posto.

Uticaj zapadnih sankcija i pada cene nafte pokosio je račune 15 najbogatijih Rusa. Evo i koliko su novca ove godine izgubili. 

1. Leonid Mikhelson 

Predsednik ruske energetske kompanije "Novatek" definitivno je najveći gubitnik. Kao ključni proizvođač plina, "Novatek" je bila jedna od prvih kompanija na udaru sankcija nakon Putinovog napada na Ukrajinu. Mikhelsonov portfelj od tada je izgubio gotovo 50 odsto vrednosti, a oligarh je ostao bez 8,7 milijardi dolara.


2. Sergej Galicki 

Osnivač najvećeg ruskog maloprodajnog lanca hrane "Magnit" i legendarni ljubitelj ruskog fudbala, koji je svom lokalnom klubu "Krasnodar" izgradio stadion i sportsku akademiju za 250 miliona dolara, ove godine je izgubio 5 milijardi dolara. Samo u ponedeljak, urušavanje vrednosti rublje odnelo mu je 855 miliona dolara.

3. Vladimir Lisin 

Predsednik i najveći deoničar kompanije "Novolipetsk Steel", nekad najbogatiji Rus, poznati je ljubitelj oružja i vlasnik dragocene kolekcije pušaka. Predsednik Ruskog olimpijskog odbora i Evropske streljačke konfederacije, izgubio je pola vrednosti svog portfelja kao i Mikhelson, a u Lisinovom slučaju to iznosi 7 milijardi dolara.

4. Vagit Alekperov 

 Predsednik ruskog naftnog diva "Lukoil" i bivši sovjetski ministar energetike, ove godine izgubio je 40 posto bogatstva ili 4,9 milijarde dolara. "Lukoil" je bio prva privatna kompanija na listi meta zapadnih sankcija. 




5. Ališer Usmanov

Vlasnik dnevnog lista "Kommersant" i magnat ruske metalurške industrije izgubio je 6,4 milijarde dolara ove godine. Najviše ga je koštao pad vrednosti 48 posto udela u najvećem ruskom proizvođaču gvožđa, "Metalloinvestu". Ovom predsedniku Međunarodne mačevalačke federacije za utehu ostaje udeo u Tviteru, sajtu "Airbnb" i suvlasništvo u britanskom fudbalskom klubu "Arsenal". 

6. Mihail Fridman 


Investicijski mogul koji se obogatio na prodaji zajedničkog poduhvata "TNK-BP" kompaniji "Rosnjeft", ostao je bez 3,5 miljiarde dolara. Nove nevolje donosi mu sve nestabilniji ruski bankarski sistem, jer Fridman sa partnerom Germanom Khanom ima kontrolni paket u najvećoj ruskoj privatnoj banci "Alfa Bank".

7. Andrej Meljničenko 


Veliki vlasnik rudnika i suprug bivše srpske manekenke Aleksandre Nikolić, izgubio je gotovo 40 odsto bogatstva, ili 5,8 miljardi dolara. Ali još nije tako finanskijski loše da bi morao da proda svoju jahtu “A” vrijednu 300 miliona dolara, jednu od najimpresivnijih privatnih jahti koje plove svetskim morima.


8. Vladimir Potanjin 

Bivši potpredsednik vlade i predsednik najvećeg svetskog proizvođača nikla, kompanije "Norilsk Nickel", izgubio je 20 posto bogatstva ili 2,8 milijardi dolara. Potanjin je bio jedan od najvatrenijih zagovornika zimske Olimpijade u Sočiju 2014. i uložio je ogroman novac u razvoj Olimpijskog sela. 


9. Mihail Prohorov

Predsednik fabrike "Onexims" udelom u ruskim bankama, energetskim kompanijama i rudnicima, izgubio je 2,4 milijarde dolara. Još uvek ima mogućnosti da zadrži košarkaški klub "Brooklyn Nets", ali razmišlja o preseljenju fabrike koja kontroliše taj NBA klub iz SAD-a u Rusiju. Tako bi udovoljio pozivu predsednika Vladimira Putina oligarsima da što više svojih kompanija vrate u Rusiju.


10. German Kan 

Partner Mikhaila Fridmana u najvećoj ruskoj privatnoj banci "Alfa Bank" prodao je svoj deo u zajedničkom poduhvatu "TNK-BP" kompaniji "Rosnjeft" za 3,3 milijarde dolara. Ove godine je ostao bez 2,5 miiljarde ili 22 posto svog bogatstva.




http://www.blic.rs/Vesti/Svet/520006/SLOM-OLIGARHA-Kako-je-10-Putinovih-prijatelja-tajkuna-ostalo-bez-50-milijardi-dolara

The Collapse of Putin's Economic System 

The foundations on which Vladimir Putin built his 15 years in charge of Russia are giving way.
The meltdown of the ruble, which weakened to a record low this week, is endangering the mantra of stability around which Putin has based his rule. While his approval rating is near an all-time high on the back of his stance over Ukraine, the currency crisis risks eroding it and undermining his authority, Moscow-based analysts said.

The president took over from an ailing Boris Yeltsin in 1999 with pledges to banish the chaos that characterized his nation’s post-communist transition, including the government’s 1998 devaluation and default. While he oversaw economic growth and wage increases in all but one of his years as leader, the collapse in oil prices coupled with U.S. and European sanctions present him with the biggest challenge of his presidency.

“People thought: ‘he’s a strong leader who brought order and helped improve our living standards,” said Dmitry Oreshkin, an independent political analyst in Moscow. “And now it’s the same Putin, he’s still got all the power, but everything is collapsing.”

New Era

In a surprise move early yesterday, the Russian central bank raised interest rates by the most in 16 years, taking its benchmark to 17 percent. That failed to keep the ruble from plummeting as low as 80.1 per dollar from about 34 in June as the price of oil, the country’s biggest export, dropped by almost half to below $60 a barrel. The currency surged 12 percent to 60.1 a dollar today as the government sold foreign currency and the central bank took steps to supported banks.

The ruble meltdown and accompanying economic slump marks the collapse of Putin’s oil-fueled economic system of the past 15 years, said an executive at one of Russia’s three biggest banks, who was talking in a personal capacity. He asked not to be identified because of the sensitivity of the issue.

The higher interest rate will crush lending to households and businesses and deepen Russia’s looming recession, according to Neil Shearing, chief emerging-markets economist at London-based Capital Economics Ltd.

Gross domestic product will shrink 0.8 percent next year under the Economy Ministry’s latest projection. With oil at $60, it may drop 4.7 percent, the central bank said last week.
“How many bankruptcies await us in January?” opposition lawmaker Dmitry Gudkov said on Twitter. “People will be out of work, out of money. The nightmare is only just beginning.”

Near Critical

Vladimir Gutenev, a lawmaker from the ruling United Russia party, also fretted about the central bank’s actions, calling the scale of the rate increase “unacceptable.”

“The situation concerning the financing of industry from bank credits is getting ever closer to critical,” Gutenev, who’s also first deputy president of the Machinery Construction Union, said by e-mail.
The threats to economic stability have arisen with Putin’s popularity at 85 percent after Russians lauded his approach to Ukraine following ally Viktor Yanukovych’s ouster. In particular, they cheered his annexation of Crimea, part of Russia until 1954, and shrugged off the ensuing U.S. and European sanctions that target the finance and oil industries.

While the unfolding ruble crisis may lead to a gradual erosion of Putin’s support, any protests that occur will mainly be against lower-level officials rather than Putin, said Igor Bunin, head of Moscow’s Center for Political Technologies.

“Putin is the symbol of Russia and the state for ordinary Russians,” according to Bunin, who said some members of the government may be fired as a result of the ruble chaos. “People see him as a lucky star who’ll save them. So they’re afraid to lose him as a symbol.”

Government ‘Incompetent’

Tatiana Barusheva, a 63-year-old pensioner who lives in the Gelendzhik resort city in the southern Krasnodar region, blames Putin’s underlings for the current bout of uncertainty.

“We can’t go far with this government, it’s incompetent,” she said yesterday on Moscow’s Red Square. “It doesn’t matter how hard Putin tries, but his helpers are good for nothing.”

Putin is capable of leading the country out of the current difficulties like he did during the global financial crisis in 2008, his spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.

“In 2008, as you remember, Putin came out and said: ‘It’s a crisis, and I take responsibility and everything will be fine!’” Peskov said in an interview with Rossiya 24 state television today. “Did everything turn out ok? Yes it did.”

Tougher Bind

The global financial crisis that erupted in 2008 wiped out 7.8 percent of Russia’s GDP the following year amid a similar tumble in oil prices. On that occasion, the ruble sank by about a third. The economy has grown each year since.

Even so, the sanctions mean Putin’s in a tougher bind this time round, according to Olga Kryshtanovskaya, a sociologist studying the elite at the Russian Academy of Sciences. Measures to ease the situation, such as imposing capital controls or softening Russia’s position on Ukraine, both carry additional risks, she said.
What’s happening now is worse than five years ago, according to Kirill Rogov, a senior research fellow at the Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy in Moscow. Putin risks losing his image as a leader who’s in control and can steer the country through turmoil, he said.
“After 2009, there was a quick recovery,” Rogov said. “Now we’re facing an uncontrollable shock. This undermines trust in Putin’s whole economic model.”

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-12-16/putin-s-mantra-of-russia-stability-unravels-as-ruble-in-meltdown.html?alcmpid=markets

Evropa prinuđena da nastavi pritisak sankcijama na Rusiju  

Nemački ministar finansija Volfgang Šojble rekao je danas da Evropa "nema drugog izbora" osim da nastavi da sankcijama vrši pritisak na Rusiju zbog situacije u Ukrajini, iako su "vrata dijalogu otvorena".

Ponavljajući stav nemačke vlade da se sukob sa Moskvom oko prisajedinjenja Krima i podrške proruskim borcima na istoku Ukrajine ne može rešiti vojnim sredstvima, Šojble je rekao da "ostaje samo gorki put sankcija". 

Šojble je na biznis konferenciji u Berlinu istakao da bi EU više volela saradnju i da "Brisel nudi ruku saradnje i dijaloga".
 
On je naveo da Vladimir Putin zaslužuje poštovanje kao ruski predsednik, ali da ne deli mišljenje bivšeg kancelara Gerharda Šredera, koji je 2004. godine rekao da je Putin "savršeni demokrata".
 
Lideri EU razmatraće sutra ekonomsku krizu u Rusiji zbog zabrinutosti da bi to moglo da se odrazi na njihove ekonomije, ali neće ublažavati sankcije Moskvi. Očekuje se da će EU proširiti zabranu investiranja u Krim ove nedelje.

http://www.blic.rs/Vesti/Svet/520238/Sojble-Evropa-prinudjena-da-nastavi-pritisak-sankcijama-na-Rusiju